Jakaya Kikwete Enters a Region Under Pressure
The African Union’s decision to appoint former Tanzanian president Jakaya Kikwete as High Representative for the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea comes at a difficult moment for the…
Analysis
Evidence-based interpretation of political, economic and security developments affecting Eritrea, the Horn of Africa and the wider world.
Analysis
Playing with Fire on the Red Sea: Addis Ababa’s Assab Miscalculation
The Ethiopian Prime Minister has now spoken openly about invading and occupying the Eritrean port city of Assab.…
Analysis
Oromummaa and the Reimagination of Oromo Identity: Cultural Ideology, Political Mobilization, and Geopolitical Tensions in the Horn of Africa
Abstract Oromummaa—the concept of “Oromo-ness”— has emerged as a foundational ideology for contemporary Oromo political, cultural, and national…
Analysis
Why Ethiopia’s Seaport Ambitions Threaten Regional Stability and International Law
In recent months, Ethiopia’s leadership has escalated its rhetoric regarding access to a seaport—framing the issue not merely…