ኢትዮጵያ ናበይ ገጻ? ኤርትራ ኸ?

ኣብ ኢትዮጵያ ዝቕጽል ዘሎ ኲናትን ፖለቲካዊ ቅልውላውን ናበይ ገጹ የምርሕ ኣሎ? እዚ ኩነታት ንድሕነት፣ ልዑላውነትን መጻኢ ኤርትራን እንታይ ትርጉም ኣለዎ?

ካብ ታሪኻዊ ስምምዕ 2018 ክሳብ ኲናት ትግራይ፣ ስምምዕ ፕሪቶርያን ሕጂ ዝረአ ዘሎ ሓድሽ ወተሃደራዊ ወጥርን፣ ዝምድና ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ብዓቢ ደረጃ ተቐይሩ ኣሎ።

ኣብዚ ሰሙናዊ መደብ ሰቲት፣ ምስ ሱለይማን ኣ. ሑሴን፣ ካብ ዕለታዊ ዜናታትን መግለጺታትን ሓሊፍና፣ ጠንቅታት እዚ ቅልውላው፣ ክህልዉ ዝኽእሉ መጻኢ ኣንፈታትን ንኤርትራ ዘለዎም ስትራተጂካዊ ሳዕቤናትን ብዕምቆት ንዝትየሎም።

ቀንዲ ኣርእስትታት ዘተና፦

🔹 ዝምድና ኤርትራን ኢትዮጵያን ካብ ሰላም 2018 ከመይ ናብዚ ሕጂ ዘሎ ወጥሪ በጺሑ?

🔹 ኲናት ትግራይን ስምምዕ ፕሪቶርያን ንዞባዊ ሚዛን ሓይሊ ከመይ ቀይሮሞ?

🔹 ኢትዮጵያ ናብ ወተሃደራዊ ምርግጋእ፣ ነዊሕ ዝጸንሕ ኲናት ወይስ ፖለቲካዊ ስምምዕ ከተምርሕ ትኽእል?

🔹 ጉዳይ ቀይሕ ባሕሪ ኣብ መጻኢ ዝምድና ክልቲአን ሃገራት እንታይ ቦታ ኣለዎ?

🔹 ኤርትራ ንልዑላውነታን ድሕነታን ንምውሓስ እንታይ ስትራተጂካዊ ኣማራጺታት ኣለዉዋ?

🔹 ኤርትራ ካብ ዞባዊ ቅልውላው ብኸመይ ርእሳ ሓልያ፣ ብቑጠባ፣ ዲፕሎማሲን ሃገራዊ ዓቕምን ክትሕይል ትኽእል?

እዚ ዘተ ብዛዕባ መን ይስዕር ወይ መን ይሰዓር ጥራይ ኣይኮነን። ቀንዲ ሕቶና፡ **ኤርትራ ኣብዚ ተለዋዋጢ ዞባዊ ኩነታት፣ ድሕነታ፣ ናጽነታን ነዊሕ ዝጠመተ ሃገራዊ ረብሓታታን ብኸመይ ከተውሕስ ትኽእል?** ዝብል እዩ።

💬 ርእይቶኹም ኣብ ክፍሊ ርእይቶታት ኣካፍሉና። ኣብ መጻኢ ኤርትራ እቲ ዝዓበየ ብድሆ እንታይ ክኸውን እዩ ትብሉ?
Ethiopia's Crisis: Where Is It Heading, and What About Eritrea? | Setit Weekly

How did Ethiopia reach its current political and military crisis, where is the conflict heading, and what does it mean for Eritrea's sovereignty, security, and future?

Eight years after the historic 2018 peace agreement between Eritrea and Ethiopia, relations between the two countries have deteriorated dramatically. The war in Tigray, the 2022 Pretoria Agreement, shifting political and military alliances, and Ethiopia's renewed pursuit of Red Sea access have fundamentally changed the regional security landscape.

With fighting intensifying in northern Ethiopia and the risk of a wider confrontation growing, important questions remain about Ethiopia's political future and Eritrea's strategic choices.

In this week's Setit Weekly, we are joined by Suleiman A. Hussin for an in-depth discussion that goes beyond the daily headlines, political accusations, and battlefield developments.

Rather than focusing on who said what, we examine the underlying causes of Ethiopia's crisis, the possible directions it may take, and the consequences for Eritrea.

Key Topics

🔹 From Peace to Confrontation: How did Eritrea and Ethiopia move from the historic reconciliation of 2018 to the current dangerous situation?

🔹 The Consequences of Pretoria: How did the 2022 peace agreement and the changing alliances in Tigray and Amhara reshape Eritrea's security environment?

🔹 Ethiopia's Uncertain Future: Can military victories bring lasting stability, or could Ethiopia face prolonged conflict and political fragmentation?

🔹 The Red Sea Question: Is Ethiopia's pursuit of sovereign maritime access a policy of the current government or a long-term strategic challenge for Eritrea?

🔹 The Risk of Regional War: Could Ethiopia's internal conflicts evolve into a direct confrontation with Eritrea, and what factors might prevent further escalation?

🔹 Eritrea's Strategic Choices: How can Eritrea strengthen its national defense, diplomatic relationships, economic self-reliance, and long-term security without becoming entangled in another devastating war?

The Bigger Question

This discussion is not simply about who controls Mekelle, who is gaining ground militarily, or which political group might emerge stronger in Ethiopia.

The fundamental question is whether Eritrea can secure its future independently of Ethiopia's political trajectory.

Whether Ethiopia experiences prolonged instability, consolidates under a stronger central government, or reaches a new political settlement, Eritrea must safeguard its sovereignty, protect its territorial integrity, and strengthen its national foundations.

Join us as we explore the risks, opportunities, and strategic decisions that could shape Eritrea's future for years to come.

💬 Join the conversation: What do you believe is the greatest long-term threat to Eritrea's security, and what should the country's priorities be?

👍 Like, share, and subscribe to Setit Media for independent journalism, informed analysis, and discussions on Eritrea, the Horn of Africa, and the Red Sea.
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