Saturday, September 20, 2025

Why Ethiopia’s Seaport Ambitions Threaten Regional Stability and International Law

on

In recent months, Ethiopia’s leadership has escalated its rhetoric regarding access to a seaport—framing the issue not merely as a matter of trade or development, but as a strategic entitlement. In a widely viewed televised interview, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed expressed “regret” over what he described as Ethiopia’s “loss” of access to the sea. This narrative, now embedded in the government’s messaging, is not only misleading—it is perilous. It distorts historical facts, disregards international law, and risks undermining stability in the already volatile Horn of Africa.

A Manufactured Narrative

Ethiopia has never legally possessed a seaport. Its only direct access to the Red Sea occurred between 1952 and 1962, during a United Nations-brokered federation with Eritrea. That arrangement—established by UN General Assembly Resolution 390 A(V) in December 1950—was intended to respect Eritrea’s internal autonomy while granting Ethiopia access to the coast for maritime trade. However, in 1962, Emperor Haile Selassie unilaterally dissolved the federation and annexed Eritrea—an act widely condemned as a violation of international law.

This illegal annexation triggered a thirty-year war for independence, culminating in Eritrea’s liberation in 1991. In 1993, following a UN-supervised referendum, 99.8% of Eritreans voted in favour of independence. Eritrea officially declared its independence on 24 May 1993 and was subsequently recognised by the international community—including Ethiopia.

Ethiopia also acknowledged Eritrea’s sovereignty and coastline, as defined in colonial treaties:

The Treaty of 1900, which demarcated the western boundary,

The Treaty of 1902, which defined the central border sector, and

The Treaty of 1908, which addressed the eastern sector, including key ports.

These borders were further reaffirmed by the Eritrea–Ethiopia Boundary Commission (EEBC) ruling on 13 April 2002, issued as part of the Algiers Peace Agreement signed in December 2000. Both parties agreed to accept the ruling as “final and binding.”

To portray Eritrea’s independence as a “loss” of Ethiopian territory is not only factually inaccurate—it constitutes a direct challenge to internationally recognised and legally affirmed borders.

Legal Boundaries Are Not Up for Renegotiation

Eritrea is a sovereign state—internationally recognised and legally defined. Its borders are not ambiguous under international law. Both the UN Charter and the Constitutive Act of the African Union uphold the inviolability of territorial integrity—principles specifically designed to prevent post-colonial Africa from descending into endless territorial disputes.

Today, Ethiopia conducts the majority of its international trade via the Port of Djibouti. Other coastal neighbours, such as Sudan and Kenya, have expressed a willingness to enhance regional cooperation. If Ethiopia seeks broader access to seaborne trade, legitimate diplomatic avenues are available. What is not acceptable is the assertion that strategic necessity or historic sentiment entitles one state to the sovereign territory of another.

Strategic Ambiguity or Escalatory Intent?

Although Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has repeatedly claimed that Ethiopia seeks seaport access through “peaceful and legal means,” no concrete legal proposals or multilateral initiatives have been made public. Instead, Ethiopian officials and state media have leaned heavily on vague allusions to “historical injustice” and “strategic need”—rhetoric that heightens fears of potential coercion.

Such ambiguity fuels mistrust across the region. The notion that a landlocked state might have a “right” to another country’s coastline—by virtue of proximity, size, or history—is deeply troubling. If this principle were to be normalised, it could have grave implications for many African borders, most of which are rooted in colonial-era treaties.

The Danger of Silence

Equally concerning is the international community’s relative silence. Ethiopia is often viewed as a key Western partner—particularly in areas such as counterterrorism, migration control, and peacekeeping. However, geopolitical interests should not override foundational principles of international law.

Allowing a stronger state to use its influence—economic, diplomatic, or military—to pressure a smaller neighbour into territorial concessions would set a dangerous precedent. It would embolden similar behaviour elsewhere and erode trust in the very legal frameworks that underpin the post-colonial international order.

A Precedent That Must Be Rejected

Eritrea’s independence is not a matter of convenience or diplomatic favour—it is the result of a determined liberation struggle, an internationally supervised referendum, and clear legal recognition. Its borders are defined by treaty and arbitration and are not subject to revision based on the changing geopolitical aspirations of its neighbour.

Ethiopia, like any other nation, is entitled to seek improved access to global markets. But this must be pursued within the limits of international law and through mutual consent—not through revisionist narratives or veiled threats.

Conclusion

The Horn of Africa is a region still grappling with the consequences of war, displacement, and underdevelopment. Introducing a new territorial dispute—based on misrepresented history and ambiguous rhetoric—would be reckless and potentially catastrophic.

The international community, along with responsible actors in the region, must draw a firm line. Sovereignty, peace, and the rule of law are not negotiable. Eritrea’s ports are not Ethiopia’s to reclaim, and any attempt to suggest otherwise threatens to plunge the region into another unnecessary crisis.

Suleiman A. Hussien
Suleiman A. Hussien
Suleiman A. Hussien is a prominent Eritrean politician and analyst based in London, UK. Specializing in the Horn of Africa and Middle Eastern affairs, he offers in-depth analysis on regional dynamics, political developments, and strategic insights. As a regular contributor to Setit Media, Suleiman shares his expert perspectives every Wednesday, providing valuable commentary on issues shaping the region.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

16 − seven =

319FollowersFollow
1,030FollowersFollow
27,700SubscribersSubscribe

From Author

Playing with Fire on the Red Sea: Addis Ababa’s Assab Miscalculation

The Ethiopian Prime Minister has now spoken openly about invading and occupying the Eritrean port city of Assab. This is not mere bluster. It...

No Peace Without Justice: Eritrea’s Rightful Claim to Accountability

As Ethiopia renews its controversial campaign for sovereign access to the Red Sea, Eritreans and observers of the Horn of Africa are once again...

Who Is Provoking Whom? Ethiopia’s Claims Against Eritrea Contradict Its Own Record

In a recent letter to the UN Secretary-General and several member states, the Ethiopian Ministry of Foreign Affairs accused Eritrea of “continued provocations” and...

Ethiopia’s Confused Strategy and the Horn’s New Reality

In a recent and surprising development, Ethiopia’s Chief of Staff appeared before Parliament not to brief lawmakers on national security, as is customary, but...

Neither Assab Nor Djibouti Are Crimea

In a powerful and unambiguous interview with Jeune Afrique, Djibouti’s President Ismaïl Omar Guelleh delivered his strongest message yet to Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy...

The Dangerous Myth of a “Lost Seaport”: Ethiopia’s Revisionist Rhetoric and Its Consequences for the Horn of Africa

In a series of recent interviews aired by Ethiopian State Television, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed once again lamented what he calls Ethiopia’s “loss” of...

The Horn of Africa: Regional Security and Geopolitical Dynamics Part III

Introduction This article builds on my previous analyses of Ethiopia’s renewed push for a seaport. In Part I, I examined the historical and geopolitical context,...

The Horn of Africa: Regional Security and Geopolitical Dynamics – Part II

Introduction I never intended to write a sequel to my previous article. However, the inflammatory rhetoric circulating in Ethiopian media—especially from government-affiliated outlets—has compelled me...